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Inheritance tax and the Budget: what’s law, what’s rumour, and what families should do now

Inheritance tax is set to be one of the biggest private client stories in this year’s Budget. Receipts have just hit another record, and the Chancellor has reportedly ruled out one of his other major options: raising capital gains tax. 

HMRC’s latest figures show that £4.7bn of inheritance tax was collected in the three months to September 2026. That is 7% more than the £4.3bn collected in the same period last year. September alone brought in £936m, the highest monthly figure ever recorded. The OBR expects receipts to reach £9.5bn for the full 2026/27 financial year.

In the past week, reports in The Times and the Financial Times said John Healey has decided against raising capital gains tax. Increases to income tax, employee National Insurance and VAT rates are already ruled out by Labour’s manifesto commitments. That leaves the Chancellor with fewer obvious options for raising revenue on 28 October, and much of the speculation has shifted to inheritance tax and lifetime gifts.

This article sets out what is already law, which changes are being discussed and what they would mean in practice. It also explains what families, trustees and executors should, and should not, do ahead of the Budget.

What is already law

Whatever happens on 28 October, more estates will face inheritance tax. The following changes are already law, and families should be planning around them now.

What is being discussed, and what would it mean?

None of the following proposals has been announced. The Treasury does not comment on Budget speculation. These are the changes attracting the most attention, alongside what each could mean in practice.

What to do and what not to do this week

After the Budget

Jay Thurston will share his initial thoughts on the inheritance tax, trusts and estates announcements following the Budget on 28 October. mgr will provide further insight into the implications for individuals, families and businesses in due course, once the detail of any changes becomes clearer. 

The full implications often emerge in the policy papers and draft legislation published after the Budget. We will review these developments and share further guidance as appropriate. 

If you would like to discuss your estate, trusts or an estate you are administering, please get in touch with Jay Thurston

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