Financial Management And Risk - Jo Haigh

The old Yorkshire saying of “where there’s muck there’s brass” may not be the first thing that comes to mind in terms of financial management but if you look at the origins of the quote, which means where there are dirty jobs to be done, there is money to be made, it’s actually more than pertinent in these strange and revealing times. 

Those businesses that have cleaned up their act in the downturn, trimmed their staff down to the most effective; got rid of the dog products and even customers, if you like – got rid of the muck, surely now stand better placed to take advantage of the upturn when it comes! 

The trick, of course, is to make sure you don’t let the muck gather again. 

Here are some critical must do’s to manage your financial risk:-

  1. Make you bank manager your best friend moving finances will be difficult and likely to remain so for some time.  You need him or her to be as naive as possible.
  2. Produce monthly management accounts and information on comparison to prior year and budget rigorously. Investigate any deviation from “plan” however minor. Get the information out as soon as possible after the month-end – 10 days at the latest.  In the meantime have weekly if not daily flash figures so you can take any remedial action sooner rather than later.
  3. AKA Margaret Thatcher – Manage your Housekeeping Money – if sales are vanity and profit is sanity, cash is bl**dy essential!  You can only run out the once! and when there is no-one to beg, borrow or steal from, that’s it you are bust.  Your funds flow - statements should be a weekly “must do” and if things remain tight a daily “must do”.
  4. Don’t put it all on “Red” unless you can afford to lose it.  Things may pick up but we are not clear yet and there is a chance it’s a dead cat bounce!!  That isn’t to say there aren’t some bargains around and I am not risk adverse I am just advocating a degree more caution than perhaps you may be used to.
  5. Illegitimi non carborundumstay positive but be realistic – don’t over-egg your performance with your funders, you get black marks for promises not achieved and in this case black marks make anything but prizes.
  6. Manage your debt and your debtors!!  Stick to your banking covenants like a leech, as banks are still looking for exit routes. Don’t do business with people that won’t pay, and there will be lots of them sadly.  If in doubt get pro-forma or even PG’s – I realise that could cost you lost sales but what good is a sale to a customer who subsequently goes bust – let some other sucker have that problem!

So what’s the worst that can happen?

It’s predicted that by the end of 2009, 40,000 companies will have been declared insolvent in the UK.

Professor Wilson of Leeds University, says “The fall in interest rates and the reduction in the value of sterling, have alleviated the pressures on some companies but these potential benefits are offset by falling operating profits in a highly leveraged corporate sector”.

He goes on to say “that a return to pre-recession lending levels would reduce the numbers by around only 8%” but that he predicts just over 100,000 companies in the high-risk category. 

“Particularly at risk are companies that increased leverage in better times as a result of private equity, investments and buy-outs.  A shift back from debt to equity is clearly a sound strategy for these companies.  The analysis shows an increased failure risk of smaller subsidiaries as parents jettison loss-making parts of the business”.

In the UK as a whole, the total value of county court judgements (CCJ’s) against companies, rose by 26% in 2008 (from £324m in 2007 to £408m in 2008).  The numbers of CCJ’s increased by 23% to more than 73,000 individual actions in 2008.

If you are to examine the anatomy of a business failure, my experience is that its caused by 4 main reasons:-

  • Cash flow problems
  • Poor planning i.e. lack of information to take action
  • Fall in demand for product
  • Rise in costs or lack of control of costs due to poor information

The underlying theme is clearly information, gut instinct is all well and good but nothing beats hard core facts and don’t worry about it being 100% right, it’s more about it being broadly correct and available.  I cannot tell you how many finance directors I have had to fight with over the years about their anal desire for a Balance Sheet to be correct to the penny, when all around Rome continues to burn!!! please !!!

So action:-
Concentrate on what turns the gas up or down on your company, your critical success factors  – those ½ dozen items that if you get them right spells success or at least survival.  Find them, track them like a hawk and importantly take action; this is not the time for procrastination.

Only the strong will survive.  Don’t be fobbed off by anyone externally and internally.

Focus, formulate and finalise.

Jo Haigh
Head of Corporate Finance for MGR
www.mgr.co.uk
Jo.haigh@mgr.co.uk
0114 223 8621 / 0207 644 9674